"The Arc of History: Morocco Advances, Algeria Stalls" 6191
Diplomacy, regional geopolitics, and strategic interpretative dynamics in North Africa have evolved profoundly over time. The turning point came in 2007, when the UN Security Council welcomed Morocco’s autonomy initiative, paving the way for a definitive resolution of the Sahara issue within the framework of Moroccan sovereignty. This was a difficult choice for Morocco, but a deeply pragmatic one. The initiative was part of a long-term vision of regional integration, based on cooperation and complementarity.
Seeing Algeria mired in its contradictions, Rabat believed it could offer a lifeline. But perhaps Morocco underestimated the instability of its neighbor's regime—either incapable or stubbornly unwilling to adjust course. Rather than seize the opportunity, Algiers chose escalation, multiplying hostile statements and provocative actions. The change in Algerian leadership had sparked some hope for a thaw in Moroccan circles. The King of Morocco went as far as issuing two solemn appeals for dialogue. The response: a categorical rejection.
Instead of proposing an alternative, Algeria has persisted in a strategy of confrontation, ignoring new geopolitical dynamics. Belligerent rhetoric and unilateral decisions against Morocco have grown in number. Algiers is sinking deeper into denial, detached from contemporary geopolitical realities. One may well wonder if Algerian decision-makers live in the same world as everyone else.
During the 2024 vote on the UN resolution renewing MINURSO’s mandate, Algeria—despite being a non-permanent Security Council member—found itself isolated and powerless. A moment as pathetic as it was revealing.
The overwhelming support of Arab and African nations for Morocco’s territorial integrity, alongside the growing shift of many states toward Rabat’s vision, has done nothing to shake Algeria’s stubbornness. Spain’s decision to embrace Morocco’s autonomy plan sent Algiers into a symptomatic fit of hysteria. President Macron’s letter and his subsequent speeches further aggravated Algerian authorities, who eventually backed down—without gaining anything in return but humiliation.
No constructive proposals have ever emerged from Algiers. Nothing concrete. Nothing useful. It’s as if insult, slander, and defamation have now become legitimate diplomatic tools. Their statements have grown increasingly virulent—sometimes downright vile—betraying a loss of emotional control.
More recently, following a clear reaffirmation of U.S. support for Morocco’s autonomy plan, Algeria issued a statement riddled with ambiguity, approximations, and glaring editorial weaknesses—in both French and Arabic. It read like the incoherent mumbling of a groggy boxer, staggering after a technical knockout.
This communiqué can be interpreted in multiple ways, all revealing the same disarray. It first appears to reflect a desire to dilute the importance of the U.S. message by drowning it in a muddle of distorted legal references, shaky historical reminders, and absurd ideological arguments—a clumsy attempt to minimize the impact of American support on domestic public opinion and the few remaining allies.
It also reveals a form of misunderstanding—feigned or sincere—of current diplomatic realities. The Algerian decision-making circles cling to an obsolete reading of the issue. Do they really believe in a possible reversal? They imply that international positions remain ambiguous or negotiable—despite all evidence to the contrary. If they truly believe that, they’re alone in doing so.
Above all, the statement reflects a stubborn refusal to accept facts. Algeria likely understood the American message: a clear and renewed endorsement of Morocco’s sovereignty over its Sahara. But for reasons of internal politics and regional posture, it chose to ignore it—an attempt to save face… but is that truly sustainable?
With each passing day, Morocco’s position on the international stage grows stronger. Pragmatism, consistency, active diplomacy, and strategic intelligence are paying off. Morocco’s internal front remains solid, united, and unwavering—a major asset. The diplomatic momentum driven by Morocco is now shared and supported by the world’s major powers, in a geopolitical context where economic and security interests prevail over outdated slogans.
Algeria, by contrast, remains stuck in a rigid and sterile posture—to the detriment, it must be said, of its own people, held hostage by an issue they were never genuinely consulted about. For nearly 50 years, they’ve endured the consequences of ideological stubbornness without the slightest tangible benefit.
And things could get even more complicated. By now antagonizing Sahel countries—particularly Mali—Algeria is compromising even its traditional alliances. Russia is watching with concern as instability spreads across a region it views as strategic. One wonders what direction Algerian diplomacy is taking—and whether anyone lucid is still at the helm.
The fact that Staffan de Mistura was questioned at the U.S. Department of State is telling—especially since he was received by a subordinate. Lisa Kenna, in charge of political affairs, conveyed a clear message: the U.S. wants a swift resolution, and there is now only one solution on the table. With no room for negotiation, his role is to urge the parties to align with that solution. Among those parties, Algeria stands front and center—whether it likes it or not.
As if that weren’t enough, Congressman Joe Wilson announced plans to submit a bill designating the Polisario Front as a terrorist organization due to its ties with Iran. The initiative is highly likely to succeed. The noose will tighten even further around the Algerian regime, which will have lost all room for maneuver.
It is time to put an end to this ideological charade—these puppets still waving outdated slogans in the corridors of the African Union, at the expense of the exhausted Algerian taxpayer waiting in endless lines for milk and cooking oil.
The patience, wisdom, and perseverance of the Moroccan Kingdom are bearing fruit. Morocco always knew it was just a matter of time. Those who doubted it now understand: you don’t trifle with the interests of one of the world’s oldest nation-states.
Algeria could have avoided this debacle—had it ever had the clarity to see what was obvious to everyone else: the course of history.
